Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Open · Ends Jan 1 2027, 04:59 UTC · Volume $51.48M · Liquidity $10.17M

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Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Game start: — · Event ends/resolves: Jan 1 2027, 04:59 UTC

Outcome comparison · market-implied

24h change (Yes): -0.1 pts · Market volume $3.11M · Updated Oct 16 2026, 17:18 UTC

Price history

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Ballon d’Or. If no 2026 Ballon d’Or winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from France Football (https://www.francefootball.fr/).

ATORA research context

ATORA forecasts are separate from market prices. No admitted ATORA output is matched to this exact event, outcome, horizon and rules, so no comparison is shown.

  • Market price = what traders on Polymarket are paying.
  • ATORA forecast = an evidence-based model output, shown only when published.
  • SportsLab never claims an "edge" without a matched, valid comparison.

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Prices are Polymarket market-implied probabilities from its public data feed — not ATORA forecasts and not SportsLab advice. "As of" times are the provider's own update times. Fetched Oct 16 2026, 17:23 UTC.